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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 12,9x - 14,2x | 13,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 8,6x - 9,5x | 9,0x |
| Fair Value | 72.516₫ - 80.510₫ | 76.513₫ |
| Upside | -14,4% - -4,9% | -9,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| KOSY Joint Stock Company | KOS | HOSE:KOS |
| 577 Investment Corporation | NBB | HOSE:NBB |
| C.E.O Group Joint Stock Company | CEO | HNX:CEO |
| Century Land Joint Stock Company | CRE | HOSE:CRE |
| Ba Ria - Vung Tau House Development Joint Stock Company | HDC | HOSE:HDC |
| SJ Group Joint Stock Company | SJS | HOSE:SJS |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| KOS | NBB | CEO | CRE | HDC | SJS | |||
| HOSE:KOS | HOSE:NBB | HNX:CEO | HOSE:CRE | HOSE:HDC | HOSE:SJS | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.2% | -27.8% | -22.1% | -7.8% | -7.9% | -1.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 9.1% | -51.4% | 13.2% | -35.0% | -26.1% | -4.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | -77.9% | -6.1% | 64.7% | -17.9% | 55.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.6% | 23.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 33.4% | 24.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 33.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.7% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 56.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.7% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 56.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.98x | 100.66x | 4.13x | 2.62x | 8.27x | 15.85x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 80.4x | 1689.2x | 29.3x | 29.5x | 27.7x | 27.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 5.82x | 32.11x | 5.08x | 2.10x | 6.84x | 15.18x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 2.62x | 6.98x | 100.66x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 5.64x | 11.31x | 36.60x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 12.87x | 13.55x | 14.23x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 646,015 | 646,015 | 646,015 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,314,881 | 8,752,506 | 9,190,132 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (390,487) | (390,487) | (390,487) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,924,394 | 8,362,019 | 8,799,644 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 113.9 | 113.9 | 113.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 69,574.79 | 73,417.07 | 77,259.34 | |||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 69,574.79 | 73,417.07 | 77,259.34 | 84,700.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.9% | -13.3% | -8.8% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KOS | NBB | CEO | CRE | HDC | SJS | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,022,658 | 6,493,674 | 5,345,735 | 4,042,013 | 4,525,900 | 10,037,604 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 64,414 | 0 | 1,999,048 | 188,391 | 14,941 | 191,233 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 340,275 | 36,550 | 0 | 0 | 823,989 | 42,599 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,063,766) | (4,431,505) | (528,324) | (946,528) | (1,597,721) | (608,632) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7,401) | (5,380) | (223,501) | (42,763) | (21,654) | (15,686) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,356,180 | 2,093,340 | 6,592,958 | 3,241,112 | 3,745,454 | 9,647,117 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 216.5 | 100.2 | 540.4 | 463.7 | 178.4 | 113.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 38,600.00 | 20,900.00 | 12,200.00 | 6,990.00 | 21,000.00 | 84,700.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38,600.00 | 20,900.00 | 12,200.00 | 6,990.00 | 21,000.00 | 84,700.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |