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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,3x - 9,2x | 8,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7,8x - 8,6x | 8,2x |
| Fair Value | 13.463₫ - 14.937₫ | 14.200₫ |
| Upside | -10,2% - -0,4% | -5,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | CII | HOSE:CII |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| Noibai Cargo Terminal Services Joint Stock Company | NCT | HOSE:NCT |
| Dong Nai Port Joint Stock Company | PDN | HOSE:PDN |
| Vietnam Container Shipping Joint Stock Corporation | VSC | HOSE:VSC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CII | CMNP | HAH | NCT | PDN | VSC | ||
| HOSE:CII | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:NCT | HOSE:PDN | HOSE:VSC | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 13.5% | 47.3% | 3.3% | 20.3% | 8.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 57.2% | 29.6% | 18.8% | 3.5% | 27.2% | 1.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 70.9% | 5.7% | 117.5% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 16.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.2% | 28.1% | 24.9% | 35.6% | 26.2% | 21.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.6% | 27.7% | 18.6% | 35.8% | 30.4% | 19.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 34.3% | 22.4% | 26.5% | 32.8% | 31.0% | 17.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 34.3% | 24.3% | 26.5% | 32.8% | 31.0% | 17.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 9.59x | 2.06x | 1.94x | 2.19x | 2.69x | 1.67x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.4x | 7.5x | 5.1x | 6.1x | 7.7x | 6.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 28.0x | 8.5x | 7.3x | 6.7x | 8.7x | 9.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.7x | 8.5x | 28.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.4x | 8.7x | 9.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 8.8x | 9.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 499,083 | 499,083 | 499,083 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,161,304 | 4,380,320 | 4,599,336 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (162,414) | (162,414) | (162,414) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,998,890 | 4,217,906 | 4,436,922 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 299.5 | 299.5 | 299.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 13,351.85 | 14,083.12 | 14,814.39 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13,351.85 | 14,083.12 | 14,814.39 | 15,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.0% | -6.1% | -1.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CII | CMNP | HAH | NCT | PDN | VSC | |
| Enterprise Value | 29,042,720 | 14,806,416 | 7,731,887 | 2,014,212 | 3,604,040 | 4,654,926 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,368,657 | 84,747 | 992,390 | 440,498 | 690,750 | 1,403,382 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,023,929 | 576,229 | 173,753 | 65,050 | 70,965 | 759,362 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,173,638) | (5,521,180) | (2,330,258) | 0 | (68,661) | (1,950,053) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3,096,931) | (1,517,971) | (694,766) | 0 | 0 | (375,106) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,164,737 | 8,428,241 | 5,873,006 | 2,519,760 | 4,297,093 | 4,492,512 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 548.0 | 6,020.2 | 121.3 | 26.2 | 37.0 | 299.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11,250.00 | 1,400.00 | 48,400.00 | 96,300.00 | 116,000.00 | 15,000.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11,250.00 | 1,400.00 | 48,400.00 | 96,300.00 | 116,000.00 | 15,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | IDR | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |