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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17,0x - 18,8x | 17,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9,5x - 10,6x | 10,0x |
| Fair Value | 1.943Rp - 2.213Rp | 2.078Rp |
| Upside | 24,5% - 41,9% | 33,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | ULTJ | IDX:ULTJ |
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk | AALI | IDX:AALI |
| PT Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk | STAA | IDX:STAA |
| Indofood Agri Resources Ltd. | 5JS | SGX:5JS |
| PT Diamond Food Indonesia Tbk | DMND | IDX:DMND |
| PT Sawit Sumbermas Sarana Tbk. | SSMS | IDX:SSMS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ULTJ | AALI | STAA | 5JS | DMND | SSMS | ||
| IDX:ULTJ | IDX:AALI | IDX:STAA | SGX:5JS | IDX:DMND | IDX:SSMS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.9% | 9.2% | 31.1% | 40.5% | -2.4% | 8.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -4.0% | -16.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 21.8% | -2.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.9% | 6.9% | 81.3% | 65.9% | -10.2% | 27.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.9% | 9.9% | 25.5% | 14.5% | 5.2% | 23.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.0% | 8.1% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 22.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.2% | 8.2% | 29.5% | 21.9% | 4.3% | 11.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.2% | 8.2% | 29.5% | 21.9% | 4.1% | 13.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.41x | 0.50x | 1.54x | 1.09x | 0.71x | 2.00x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 3.4x | 4.4x | 3.5x | 11.3x | 11.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 6.1x | 5.2x | 5.0x | 17.3x | 15.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 6.1x | 17.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.6x | 11.3x | 2662.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.0x | 17.9x | 18.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,425,214 | 1,425,214 | 1,425,214 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 24,295,640 | 25,574,358 | 26,853,076 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,959,085) | (5,959,085) | (5,959,085) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 18,336,555 | 19,615,273 | 20,893,991 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,525.0 | 9,525.0 | 9,525.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,925.10 | 2,059.35 | 2,193.59 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,925.10 | 2,059.35 | 2,193.59 | 1,560.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.4% | 32.0% | 40.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ULTJ | AALI | STAA | 5JS | DMND | SSMS | |
| Enterprise Value | 12,532,060 | 11,025,858 | 10,099,696 | 16,656,678 | 6,803,937 | 20,818,085 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,434,322 | 3,236,012 | 1,318,490 | 5,945,500 | 595,695 | 883,318 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 132,526 | 410,417 | 16,100 | 2,275,052 | 66,826 | 564,573 | |
| (-) Debt | (37,848) | (3,189,537) | (1,517,090) | (7,874,434) | (5,429) | (7,161,856) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (87,688) | (560,144) | (431,262) | (11,565,212) | (28,367) | (245,119) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 14,973,372 | 10,922,606 | 9,485,934 | 5,437,584 | 7,432,662 | 14,859,000 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10,398.2 | 1,924.7 | 10,903.4 | 1,395.9 | 9,468.4 | 9,525.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,440.00 | 5,675.00 | 870.00 | 3,895.38 | 785.00 | 1,560.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 12,366.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,440.00 | 5,675.00 | 870.00 | 0.32 | 785.00 | 1,560.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | SGD | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 12,366.30 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |